Skip to main content

Getting it Wrong Ain't That Bad

You know, a lot of people are afraid to invest in the share market (aka the stock market) because they are afraid of “getting it wrong”, of investing in the wrong stock. But is that really a bad thing? And how come the big boys always seem to get it right?

Let’s tackle the last question first: How come the big boys always seem to get it right?

They don’t! No, seriously, they often get it wrong. Let me show you.

Superannuation fund managers are major stock market investors. And depending upon their appetite for risk will depend on where and how much they invest in the stocks and shares on offer. But the reality is that they simply do NOT win every time. If they did, your superannuation balance would be growing astronomically, year on year.

The big players do, in fact, get it wrong; sometimes, spectacularly so.

Yes, there are others who have built massive empires on their success, but they are the first to admit that they didn’t always get it right; and that some of their failures really hurt.

You, as an individual, have almost the same playing field as the big players. You have access to markets around the world. You can research company information. Yes, it is true that the big players sometimes get some information before you do, and they have a boat-load more money to play with, but you have a serious luxury that they don’t: you have time. And you have the luxury to use that time.

The big players have pressures, KPIs, meetings, lunches, ROIs, long commutes.

You have YOU. And if you follow a sensible plan (like: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket; or: Don’t believe all the rubbish that people will throw at you, especially the well-meaning ones), then getting it wrong won’t be fatal.

This is NOT investment advice and you should always do your own research and learning.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

A Couple of Updates

 Well, it's Monday morning and the week has started with a bang. First, PFE announced that there was an unexpected problem with their test drill and they have had to abandon that and go to a new test drill site. A delay, but no real issue apart from that. And the market hated that. Good news for those wanting to buy, not so good for existing holders. IMC released their AGM presentation which indicates that there will be some news in December and then a very busy (and hopefully productive) 2025. Sales are good and continuing to get better and better.

2025 - an early start

 Ok., so here we go on my Trump-era goal. Just bought MXR (yes, on the ASX). AAR wants to take them over at 7 cents as a scrip payment (paying in AAR shares instead of cash). The current share price is 6.3 cents. So that should be a quick 10% gain. However... this does look like a lowball offer and may yet be increased. MXR has great assets and AAR already owns almost 20% of MXR. So AAR is committed to a deal and that may just attract other attention. It looks like a no-brainer to start 2025. Yes, there is always some risk, but this one looks pretty good. I have done a bit more research and have some exciting thoughts, including one that looks a little like another WGO (which returned handsomely on a takeover). More news coming as I do more reseach.  Another one that looks good for a quick profit is GES, but as I write this, there are no shares at the right price (.05).

Out of 2

 I ahd some bills to pay and these 2 got the chop: PFE - such promise, such disappointmen IMC - I always had some ethical problems with this one.  But there it is. Bills paid, and a little left over to find something new with.